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Tuesday 20 May 2014

UKIP – Poll Numbers Keep Falling

Things must be getting desperate for Nigel “Thirsty” Farage and his fellow saloon bar propper-uppers at UKIP: the Daily Mail’s tedious and unfunny churnalist Richard Littlejohn has declared his support for them. In a rant bizarre even by his standards, Dicky Windbag has gone after Mil The Younger – despite his own paper writing off the Labour leader’s relevance – before declaring Farage the superior proposition.
Approaching squeaky finger up the bum time

Why support Mr Thirsty? Well, “there’s little to choose between any of them when it comes to the EU. OK, so Cameron promises a referendum and Miliband doesn’t. But the Prime Minister has no intention of recommending that we pull out altogether. Nick Clegg says the concessions Britain can expect from a ‘renegotiation’ would be so trivial even a raving Europhile like him could support them”.

So which way will Dick be voting? “I don’t think Ukip is a serious party of government, but I’ll be voting for them on Thursday anyway”. Considering he’s writing his regulation drivel from the well-known Essex locale of Vero Beach in Florida, that might be a challenging proposition. He either voted already by post or he’s chucked in another of those all-too-familiar whoppers.

In any case, the likes of Littlejohn, removed from the action by several thousand miles, need to wise up: as I noted on Sunday, UKIP’s poll numbers, which had taken a generally upward trajectory from late March, have started to slide. Just how badly they have already slid can be seen from the helpful graph provided by YouGov, whose latest poll shows the Kippers gain their lowest score for some weeks.
Graphic (c) YouGov

It was YouGov that registered a decline in UKIP’s rating from 31% to 25% during the past week or so, and that score has now fallen further to 24%. It is, one must remember, still far higher than the vote share the party gained in 2009 – 16.5%. However, and in this case there is a significantly sized however, if UKIP drops below 20%, that will be way below expectations.

After all, Mr Thirsty and his pals have been predicted to come top of the poll. What the YouGov numbers show is that UKIP has slipped back to second place, with the clear inference that Farage’s car crash interview on LBC last Friday – which resulted in a rare “correction”, made worse as it came so late in the day – and the continued unearthing of more fruitcake followers, had started to put voters off.

The last thing Mr Thirsty and his rabble now need is for someone resident outside the UK to declare his support and thereby curse the Kippers. So well done Littlejohn for lending his trademark dishonesty to the UKIP cause. And well done YouGov for proving wrong all those who pretend that Farage’s LBC interview and all the fruitcakes are not swaying voters.

Now all we need is the real poll. And don’t forget to take part, folks!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

When I saw the odds that bookies were offering on UKIP getting the most MEPs, I thought something had to be up. Polls and journalists might hedge their bets, but what bookies care about is what the saps will vote for. If they think that a lot of people might put money on UKIP doing well, they'll make sure the odds don't discourage them.