Your seat's on the line too, matey
Both in Tamworth, where the appropriately named Chris Pincher had left in disgrace, and Mid-Bedfordshire, where (yes, it’s her again) Nadine Dorries had finally resigned, to the relief of many in the constituency who wished it had happened earlier, the Tories failed to defend five-figure majorities (19,600 and 24,600 respectively) and lost both seats to Labour.
The Election Maps UK feed on Twitter, X, or whatever Muskrat is calling it this week, sounded a “Just For Fun” klaxon, telling “How GB would vote if the Mid Bedfordshire By-Election swing was repeated across the country”. The Lib Dems would become the opposition with over 100 seats, Labour would be out of sight on 484 seats, and the Tories would be reduced to a rump of 20 seats.
What went wrong for the Tories? Perhaps the shorter answer would result from asking what didn’t go wrong. The Tamworth by-election followed Pincher losing his appeal against a proposed suspension from the Commons after he drunkenly groped two men. As for Mid Beds, Ms Dorries had not spoken in the Commons for more than a year prior to her resigning.
Worse, the Tories are now led by a Prime Minister so totally out of touch with ordinary voters that he uses private jets, or helicopters, to get around the country. The voters have to use their cars, or take the train (Mid Beds has a vocal commuter contingent who are well versed on the less than perfect service they can expect from Flitwick and Harlington).
And as if The Blue Team could not make things worse, they, er, made things worse by both their losing candidates leaving the count before the winning candidates had made their acceptance speeches. If either of the losers stands for the seat next time, their opponents will have the Sour Loser acts on a tape loop. So what kind of excuses are the Tories deploying today?
“Labour got fewer votes in Mid Beds than in 2019”. Except the Tories got more than 26,000 fewer. “By-elections don’t matter”. Except they mattered when holding Uxbridge and South Ruislip. And education secretary Gillian Keegan claiming the results “did not show a swing to Labour”. Some remedial maths lessons needed there. Maybe she was arguing in her spare time.
Two people who should be ‘fessing up and saying sorry, but will not be, are party chairman Greg Hands and his deputy Lee Anderson. Instead, Hands told Sky News “the conversations I had in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth [show that] people were happy with the job that Rishi Sunak is doing as prime minister”. So happy they appear poised to eject him from Downing Street.
That, along with the propensity to resort to personal abuse rather too readily, is a significant part of why the Tories keep on losing. Thuggish behaviour from the likes of 30p Lee is also counting against them. Labour hardly needs to lift a finger; the Tories are doing their hard work for them. Rishi Sunak being out of the country pretending to be important is just the icing on the cake.
The Blue Team may be facing wipeout. Just rejoice at that news.
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“the conversations I had in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth [show that] people were happy with the job that Rishi Sunak is doing as prime minister”
ReplyDeleteIn fairness, one must consider who (if anyone) he has been talking with.
Back at the 2015 GE, I was visiting my parents, who live in a swing seat (at the time I was living in central Leicester, red as the cheese). A Tory councillor came round delivering election leaflets. I went to the door, recognising him as the father of an old school friend. Before I could unlock the door, he was halfway up the street, demonstrating a remarkable turn of speed for a 60-something. This wasn't leafleting the other houses - this was scarpering from contact with a voter.
If a councillor in a reasonably well off swing (but in the event of a draw going Tory) seat has that sort of fear of the public in 2015, I imagine that by 2023, the likes of Hands would have spoken to their candidate and election agent(s), and local party stalwarts. And nobody else.
The only time to "rejoice at that news" will be when toryism blue, red and yellow is deservedly in the same historical place as fascism, falangism and nazism.
ReplyDeleteUntil then the nett progressive effect of their election "victories" will be the square root of fuck all. Which means there can be no complaint.... because we STILL let it happen after more than 40 years of corruption, warmongering and organised hypocrisy.
Sooner or later history presents its invoice.
It's not Twitter X. It's Twix
ReplyDelete@21:28, it's “Xitter”, with the first letter pronounced “Sh”.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, in my neck of the woods we have a local council by-election next week. To date I've had one canvasser actually ring the doorbell (Labour, looked like Jim Broadbent) and two leaflets from each of Labour and Lib-Dem. Nothing from the Tories at all. You'd almost think they’d given up, or something.
Anonymous 14.18
ReplyDeleteIt possibly does. But no chance in our lifetimes, matey.
And meanwhile...........