“The 300 ‘maternity tourists’” announced
the Sunday Telegraph today, in an
effort to conflate use of the NHS by those not entitled to free healthcare, and
potential immigration from Romania and Bulgaria. That two rather different
cases have been lumped together will come as no surprise when readers see the
name on the by-line, that being Andrew “transcription
error” Gilligan.
On top of that is the all-too-common use of quotation marks
because the phrase being pitched cannot be stood up. So where does Gilligan get
it? “A government report found that
immigration officials at one airport stopped more than 300 such mothers-to-be
over two years”. And they were all headed for an NHS hospital to get
treatment for free? But then, that is what cannot be stood up.
But off he goes anyway: “The
problem of ‘maternity tourism’ has become so acute that staff at Guy’s and St
Thomas’ NHS Trust, in London, refer to the flow of West African women flying in
to give birth as the ‘Lagos Shuttle’”. Really? Who calls it that? Er, the
Telegraph does, egged on by one J
Meirion Thomas, who will tell anyone prepared to listen about health tourism.
Anyhow, what sums of money are involved? “The Government says health tourism costs the
NHS as much as £80 million a year — enough to pay for about 2,000 nurses ... However,
estimates seen by The Telegraph suggest
the true figure may be far higher”. When Andrew Gilligan mentions “estimates” that “suggest” something, without the source being cited, that’s an
avoid.
So we’re left with “as
much as £80 million a year”, and for the sake of argument, let’s take £80
million as the actual figure. How does this compare, say, to the total NHS
budget? Well, the
2013/4 figure for the latter is £95.6 billion, which makes the shock horror
health tourism figure of £80 million less
than one-tenth of one per cent of it. Whoever is coming here for NHS
treatment isn’t exactly breaking the bank.
It gets worse: the reports that inform Gilligan’s article
appear to consist of one study from 2010 – so hardly up to date – and another
which has canvassed views of staff, rather than factual information. To this he
adds “Later this week, restrictions on
Bulgarians and Romanians working in Britain will be lifted, amid concerns that
tens of thousands could arrive and be entitled to benefits”.
But residents of other EU member states are entitled to
access the NHS under reciprocal arrangements with those states. So Gilligan is
adding a rank non sequitur to outdated and unpublished information, then
selectively quoting from it, along with re-hashing a previous piece from his
own paper. It is no doubt what his editor demanded, but at the expense of any
credibility he had left.
Andrew Gilligan is once again a disgrace to his profession. No change there, then.
It strikes me that many of these stories of supposed waste or misdirected funds rely on public maths ignorance. Millions. Billions. Trillions. Squillions. As long as it's a big sounding number of which the majority have no proper concept.
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