So the starting gun for the Eastleigh by-election has been
fired, and the Tories have been first to select their candidate. As I noted
the other day, Maria Hutchings, who lost to Chris Huhne in 2010, was the
sitting candidate and the
party has confirmed that she will fight the seat. However, as I also
pointed out, she comes with a range of baggage, which is already causing her
problems.
Added to this is the
presence of Grant “Spiv” Shapps,
a less than fortunate choice of party chairman, if only because nobody knows
whether they are talking to him, Michael Green, Sebastian Fox, or Chuck
Champion. Shapps, a rather less trustworthy individual than Arthur Daley or
Flash Harry, gives the impression that he is about to try and pass off another
dodgy motah onto an unsuspecting punter.
Thus the truly unappealing prospect from Young Dave’s jolly
good chaps. And it’s not got off to a good start, with Ms Hutchings’ back
catalogue being pored over, especially
what she is alleged to have said back in 2005 to the obedient hackery of
the legendarily foul mouthed Paul Dacre, for example that she did not care
about refugees. It gets worse.
She is also quoted as saying that Labour did more for “the immigrants, the gays, the bloody foxes”
than for children with special needs. She would have voted against same sex
marriage, is
unequivocally “pro-life” (to the
extent that she
would reduce the abortion limit to ten
weeks), and would vote to leave the EU, no ifs, no buts. The thought occurs that this may not appeal
to Lib Dem voters.
But she is not a “rich
Tory toff”, so that’s all right, then. Well, up to a point: while Michael
Ashcroft is
warning the Tories that few voters in Eastleigh are likely to “switch out of disgust” for Huhne’s
speeding cover-up, Shapps has ignored this advice and confirmed that his
campaign will target Huhne’s conduct. That he was an apparently assiduous MP is
not allowed to enter.
And to put the lid on the Tory offering, Ms Hutchings has
herself contradicted Shapps by telling “I
want to talk about the issues that affect the people of Eastleigh”. Huhne’s
behaviour outside the constituency, and before he became an MP, is not likely
to figure in that category. Then she has said that she doesn’t want to discuss
Huhne, and “That issue is in the past”.
So far, so shambolic, then. And on top of all that is Ms
Hutchings’ assertion that she would be running a “clean campaign”. That rules out just about any of Shapps’ usual
tactics, so either the Tory campaign will be a shambles, or she is being no
more honest than the unfortunate Huhne was with the press over his speeding
points. This may not end well for Young Dave.
But it will mean excellent spectator sport for a few weeks, so bring it on.
With respect it won't matter what sort of Tory she is, that area is quite posh (I live near it and know the area well)
ReplyDeleteTurnout and voter punishment of the lib dems will really be key, the Councillors and activists rather vociferously defended Huhne on the door step and voters aren't going to forget that. Its hard for this not to be a win for Cameron though, win and its a seat gained, lose and we get a couple of years of how a vote for UKIP (there share will be key) is a vote for a Labour prime minister
How did the councillors and activists defend Huhne on the doorstep when the last General Election was before the speeding points business took off?
ReplyDeleteI too live near there and have a different view,Eastleigh was originally a railway town and had a lot of blue-collar industry,most of which is gone,soon to be followed by the closure of the Ford plant.Remember,Ford got that lovely loan and the following day announced they were off to Turkey?Dave didn't come out of that well.So the town has a mixture of blue-collar and middle class. I do know that many people voted for Huhne because he was well liked personally.
ReplyDeleteOpinion is low on Tories and LibDems,I really wouldn't be surprised if Labour get it.
@TallulaM
We had council elections 2012 along we police commissioner elections Tim they were very defensive of Huhne on the doorstep
ReplyDeleteYour right Tallula I'd forgotten Eastleigh constituencies boundaries covered Hedge End (but also covers near Winchester), that could even put it in UKIP territory if theres enough anger over Ford