The Lead Narrows – 4

Tucked away on the website of the Super Soaraway Currant Bun is today’s instalment of the daily YouGov “tracker” poll. And it shows, yet again, that the Tory lead is slipping: it’s down to just 3%.

As this is a Murdoch title, though, there is still the usual photo of Young Dave, with the reassuring caption that his vote is “Steady ... remains unchanged”. The accompanying blurb suggests that bad news next week may knock back the recent improvement for Labour.

What it doesn’t say is that, all over the UK, local Labour – and Lib Dem – activists are scenting what a few months ago would have been an impossible reversal of fortune. This may have been helped recently by the Ashcroft factor, and there may be more trouble for Young Dave if the Guardian has more in the tank on the Young Britons’ Foundation (YBF), or Phonehackgate.

Of course, it also depends on Labour and the Lib Dems not putting their collective feet in it when they start opening up on the Tories.

Interesting times ahead.